EBITDA over time
Assumptions
| Variable | 2024Q3 | 2026Q4 |
|---|---|---|
| GB300 NVL 72 Revenue | 1,342.26 ▲ | 1,375.32 ▲ |
| H100 Hopper GPU Revenue | 18,144.24 ▲ | 13,631.72 ▲ |
| Compute Console Revenue | 36.44 | 35.72 |
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Tariffs rise 12% on imported components from the start of 2026Q4 and roughly half of the increase is passed through to customers within two quarters.
Tariffs rise 12% on imported components from the start of 2026Q4 and roughly half of the increase is passed…
The same tariff step, but no pass-through: the full cost increase is absorbed in margin, and volumes soften as…
Full pass-through inside one quarter plus a renegotiated supplier contract that recovers part of the cost step from 2027.
Key takeaways from your portfolio analysis.
Estimated impact on 2027E EBITDA with 68% confidence interval
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Tariffs rise 12% on imported components from the start of 2026Q4 and roughly half of the increase is passed through to customers within two quarters.
Tariffs rise 12% on imported components from the start of 2026Q4 and roughly half of the increase is passed through to customers…
The same tariff step, but no pass-through: the full cost increase is absorbed in margin, and volumes soften as competitors hold…
Full pass-through inside one quarter plus a renegotiated supplier contract that recovers part of the cost step from 2027.
Helion Semiconductor – HLSM
HLSM-Equity-MODEL-2026-09-09.xlsxHLSM – Helion Semiconductor
HLSM-Equity-MODEL-2026-09-09.xlsxForecast Accuracy
Consensus Comparison
CSTM – Castleton Materials Co. · Cost of Goods Sold (COGS)Forecasting Performance
Assumption comparison across revisionsAlerts
Solace Devices Announces AI Hardware Upgrade and Expanded Chip Investment
Northfield Robotics Flags Delays in Automation Rollout
Castleton Materials Warns on Input Cost Pressure
Solace Devices Inc
Solace Devices Announces AI Hardware Upgrade and Expanded Chip Investment
These concurrent theses span Solace's reported capital spending, recurring device-attach revenue, and hardware cost base from calendar 2026 into 2027Q1 — each stated on its own reported line-item terms without netting.
Scenario Go To Scenario → Relevant subgraphsEBITDA over time
QuarterlyNo new alerts yet — watching coverage for events.
Helion Semiconductor — inbound freight rates fall›
Spot rates on the transpacific lane fell for a fourth consecutive week…
Read moreTranspacific spot rates fell for a fourth week, trimming inbound logistics cost.
Manual override entered by the analyst on this period.
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